I
published this in 1972. The updated graphs shows the accuracy
of its predictions. |
THE
ROOT OF HUMANITY'S PROBLEMS |
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The
population of the world is growing at such a fantastic rate
that most scientists describe our situation as a crisis. If
the present rate continues - in other words, if we do nothing
to slow it, the population of the world will double during the
next 35 years. This means that, even to keep up our present
standard of living we will need twice as many houses, schools,
hospitals, roads and cars and twice as much food, fuel, power
and space which will create twice as much pollution of the land,
sea and air while using up the world's natural resources twice
as fast. |
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It
is a commonly held view among the richer industrialised countries
that population control is only needed in the poorer countries
of the world. It is certainly true that the richer countries
have slower rates of growth. But they are growing.
Look at this graph showing the population of England and Wales
for the past thousand years. |
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At
the time of Domesday Book, which must have been the world's
first proper census, the population of England was just over
a million. By 1825, after it had been rising slowly for 700
years, it was 10 million. Since then it has been rising faster
and by 2011 has reached 62 million (not including Scotland).
At the present rate of growth the population of Britain will
double again in the next 140 years. This may seem a long time
but there are two points to remember: firstly, Britain's land
area and natural resources cannot themselves be extended. Every
year there are 300,000 more Britons but there is not one single
extra square yard of land. Secondly, every new Briton uses about
20 times as much of the world's resources as, for example, every
new Indian. In these terms, Britain's yearly growth is equal
to a yearly growth in India of 6 million. The U.S.A., with 6%
of the world's population, uses 50% of the world's resources
and every new American uses about 40 times as much as every
new Indian so the U.S.A.'s yearly growth of 2 million is equal
to a growth of 80 million in Indian terms. And remember that
these are highly industrialised countries with what are thought
of as 'slow' growth rates. |
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Optimists
will tell you that the birth rate of the industrialised countries
has been falling for decades and this means that the problem
is no longer serious. It is true that the birth rate in the
industrialised north has indeed been falling more or less continuously
for nearly a hundred years but the death rate has also been
falling and as long as the death rate is below the birth
rate the population continues to grow. |
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Optimists
will also point at open fields and hills and say, “Look
at all that empty space! No people in sight!” They forget
that every single human being, optimists included, has to be
supported by 'empty' space. It must be remembered that every
time someone eats a steak, he or she eats the meat of an animal
that had been feeding on grass for months before it grew big
enough to be eaten. No grass, no cow. No cow, no steak. This
is true of everything we eat. It is not only that the countryside
is beautiful to look at - it is necessary for our very existence. |
| In
a lecture given in 1969 Sir Frank Fraser Darling had this to say: |
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“All
governments should face their responsibility to work out population
and food policies, not play the opposite game of subsidising
irresponsibly reproductive families. Is vote-catching to be
the incurable weakness of democracy?” |
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