THE ROOT OF HUMANITY'S PROBLEMS
by Alan Wakeman

 

I published this in 1972. The updated graphs shows the accuracy of its predictions.

THE ROOT OF HUMANITY'S PROBLEMS
World Population Growth

The population of the world is growing at such a fantastic rate that most scientists describe our situation as a crisis. If the present rate continues - in other words, if we do nothing to slow it, the population of the world will double during the next 35 years. This means that, even to keep up our present standard of living we will need twice as many houses, schools, hospitals, roads and cars and twice as much food, fuel, power and space which will create twice as much pollution of the land, sea and air while using up the world's natural resources twice as fast.

 

It is a commonly held view among the richer industrialised countries that population control is only needed in the poorer countries of the world. It is certainly true that the richer countries have slower rates of growth. But they are growing. Look at this graph showing the population of England and Wales for the past thousand years.

 
England's population since Domesday Book
 

At the time of Domesday Book, which must have been the world's first proper census, the population of England was just over a million. By 1825, after it had been rising slowly for 700 years, it was 10 million. Since then it has been rising faster and by 2011 has reached 62 million (not including Scotland). At the present rate of growth the population of Britain will double again in the next 140 years. This may seem a long time but there are two points to remember: firstly, Britain's land area and natural resources cannot themselves be extended. Every year there are 300,000 more Britons but there is not one single extra square yard of land. Secondly, every new Briton uses about 20 times as much of the world's resources as, for example, every new Indian. In these terms, Britain's yearly growth is equal to a yearly growth in India of 6 million. The U.S.A., with 6% of the world's population, uses 50% of the world's resources and every new American uses about 40 times as much as every new Indian so the U.S.A.'s yearly growth of 2 million is equal to a growth of 80 million in Indian terms. And remember that these are highly industrialised countries with what are thought of as 'slow' growth rates.

 
Optimists will tell you that the birth rate of the industrialised countries has been falling for decades and this means that the problem is no longer serious. It is true that the birth rate in the industrialised north has indeed been falling more or less continuously for nearly a hundred years but the death rate has also been falling and as long as the death rate is below the birth rate the population continues to grow.
 

Optimists will also point at open fields and hills and say, “Look at all that empty space! No people in sight!” They forget that every single human being, optimists included, has to be supported by 'empty' space. It must be remembered that every time someone eats a steak, he or she eats the meat of an animal that had been feeding on grass for months before it grew big enough to be eaten. No grass, no cow. No cow, no steak. This is true of everything we eat. It is not only that the countryside is beautiful to look at - it is necessary for our very existence.

In a lecture given in 1969 Sir Frank Fraser Darling had this to say:
 
“All governments should face their responsibility to work out population and food policies, not play the opposite game of subsidising irresponsibly reproductive families. Is vote-catching to be the incurable weakness of democracy?”
 

See also:




Site Map
Site Map
Home Page Site Exit